12 Comments
Sep 22, 2021Liked by Ben Alexander

Just loving the depth that’s being created by Dave. I can imagine Harry Wilson is breathing fire trying to get his spot back. Now he sees Sean McMahon back in the squad and he has to work even more just to get that jersey back. Can only mean good things when getting the jersey is so hard

Expand full comment
Sep 22, 2021Liked by Ben Alexander

1. Angus Bell

2. Brandon Paenga-Amosa

3. Taniela Tupou

4. Izack Rodda

5. Rory Arnold

6. Sean McMahon

7. Michael Hooper

8. Rob Valetini

16. Folau Fainga'a

17. James Slipper

18. Allan Alaalatoa

19. Will Skelton

20. Lachie Swinton/Pete Samu

21. Harry Wilson (if 6/2)

Expand full comment
Sep 22, 2021Liked by Ben Alexander

Benny, Interesting thoughts and for the most part I agree. Some questions regarding selection though - don't think you can be successful deep into a World Cup with a short back row. While the Springboks have definitely come off - and this points to some other arguments relating to the relaxing of the Giteau law. While it may achieve short term results - I question the value of it for the long term and keeping Super Rugby a pre-eminent competition vs. an Academy type competition like the A-League. I also wonder if the Springbok players - having not being exposed to the quality of competition of Super Rugby since early 2020 - whether that may have affected them. Yes they beat the Lions - but both teams played exactly the same game. Teams like Australia and New Zealand that actually... play with the ball in hand - particularly New Zealand that thrive off kick return and turnover ball - do seem to be able cause the South Africans more grief. That though is a debate for another day.

The Wallaby performance against the Springboks was for mine both surprising and a welcome surprise. A caveat though - the Springboks are also missing 4 players that are arguably key to their game and will be key to their game at the business end of a World Cup in Pieter Steph Du Toit, Lood De Jager, RG Synman and Cheslyn Colby.

The addition of the 1st 3 in the 22 adds another 3 big bodies over 2m in addition to Mostert & Etsebeth. Their game (while boring) is significantly more effective with these players in the team. I would select Salakai-Loto ahead of Valentini. McMahon (if he is still at the same level as when he went to Suntory) has to be in there somewhere so Salakai-Loto at least offers a genuine third option in the lineout. Brendan Paenga Amosa is also unfortunately (and not something that I can understand as it's a closed skill) a poor lineout thrower - this just plays into the hands of a good lineout. Tolu Latu in my view should start as he is a better Lineout thrower and arguably at similar level in terms of scrummaging. Backup - Lonergan. Why not Faingaa? - Lonergan a better lineout thrower & I'm gambling on the fact that his scrummaging will improve over the next two years - offers greater workrate and more effective ball carry around the field.

Further, Folau's attitude concerns me - every year he is pulled up for workrate and letting himself 'go'. I just can't see that lack of discipline/motivation changing suddenly. I also had heard that prior to being recalled back into the Wallabies - was actually ranked 3rd hooker at the Brumbies at the end of the Super season due to the above concerns.

Scotty Sio - Love him to death, but similar to Faingaa - turning up to the first Wallaby Camp in 2019 horrifically out of shape. Was horrifically out of shape in Super Rugby this year - just wonder after being a professional rugby player since the age of 20 - whether the motivation & discipline is still there.

The other Smokey is Nick Frost - great workrate, athletic (bit like our old mate Kimo') can play 6 as well as lock over 2m and still only 21.

All Blacks I'd imagine will also run with a back row that offers at least 2 jumpers in addition to the locks - so as I said above - just don't think you can run with a short back row & only 2 genuine jumpers. It's hurt the Wallabies in 2 World Cup finals 03' and 15' - While in 15' Fardy was there - The All Blacks had Retallick, Whitelock, Read, Jerome Kaino & while McCaw was only 6/2 - was also an option. England should have also learned from the last World Cup in both not carrying at least 3 genuine options in the lineout and a genuine tight head lock.

My Crystal ball below:

1. Slipper

2. Latu

3. Alaalatoa

4. Rodda

5. Arnold

6. Salakaia-Loto/Frost

7. Hooper

8. McMahon

Bench:

16. Lonergan (Potentially another smokey - Pollard)

17. Bell

18. Tupou

19. Skelton

20. Frost/Salakaia-Loto/Wilson

21. Gill/Samu/Valentini

Expand full comment
Sep 21, 2021Liked by Ben Alexander

What was impressive is the ball handling from the forwards. Not disrespecting Tupou's no look pass, but it went through the hands of Hooper (playing scrum half, then Bell, to get to Tupou. And Koroibete's second try went through the hand of Swain, Phillip (who looked to see what was going on before passing), and then break by Samu. It was then kept alive by Phillip and Valenti cleaning out.

Go back to QC'd kick to win, there was 5 Wallabies chasing the kick in case something happened.

The Wallabies are now getting into position to create their own luck, and are reaping the rewards.

Expand full comment
Sep 21, 2021Liked by Ben Alexander

Gee that squad is looking pretty competitive Benny.

I reckon you'd need at least 5 props in the squad, if not 6. If 5, you'd need one to be able to play both LH and TH. I'd roll with Slips (LH and 3rd choice TH), Alaalatoa, Tupou, Bell & Sio.

Kaitu'u has looked pretty strong at hooker, and I'd take him as my 3rd choice behind Paenga-Amosa and Fainga'a. Longeran looks like one for the future.

Do you see Salakaia-Loto as a second rower or 6? I reckon he's been a little off the pace this year. Swinton, Valetini, Wilson & McMahon all in front of him at 6. Phillip, Skelton, Arnold and Rodda in front of him in the row.

Expand full comment